Even nanites can’t save the market for two of Bloodshot’s most important key comic books, Eternal Warrior #4 and Rai #0.  In speculation, many often say "Buy, Buy, Buy!" but few take the time to look closer at the fallout.  With exceedingly poor market performance over the last few years, these two Bloodshot key comics are definitely frontrunners for one of the worst speculation bubble bursts.

 

 

Timeline of Bloodshot

Unless you’ve been hiding under a rock, you’re likely aware that Bloodshot finally got a live-action movie that was released in early 2020. And with that, the two most highly speculated books associated with the Bloodshot movie were Bloodshot’s first cameo appearance book of Eternal Warrior #4 (1992) and his first full appearance book of Rai #0 (1992). Quick note, Rai #0 was released in the same month, and with matte and glossy prints.

Before diving into the sales data for the two books, keep in mind the timings of the following notable events:

  • March 2018 - The official casting of the titular character was announced.
  • Jan 2019 - First images from the movie are released.
  • October 2019 - The first trailer was released.
  • March 2020 – The movie debuted in theaters.

How Bloodshot Movie Influenced Prices

Can you guess how the market behaved surrounding those dates? Where the peaks were? What happened since? From the ominous tone of the article so far, you’d probably be able to easily answer that last question.

The common things first. Both experienced short term spikes in sales prices around the first 3 events, and surprisingly, no short term spike surrounding the movie’s theatrical release. And the big thing both books have in common (if you haven’t been able to tell from the ominous tone of the article so far), is that sales prices have been in decline for the last few years.  Both dropping over 50% off the highs.

As for the differences in the timeframe since the start of 2018, here are some quick ones. The glossy Rai #0 reached much higher overall FMV/sales prices than that of Eternal Warrior #4, almost double; likely due to the preference of full appearance vs cameo. Conversely, the sales volume of Eternal Warrior #4 was almost triple that of Rai #0 (glossy); likely due to the lower glossy print run. Below is the sales data for CGC 9.8 copies of each book; on the left is Eternal Warrior #4, and on the right is Rai #0.

Back to the whole timing of the notable events, the most interesting difference between the two books comes in when the start of this decline began for each one. For Eternal Warrior #4, this downward trend started in early 2018. It would take almost a full year later until early 2019 for Rai #0 to start its big move down. Why was there such a large difference in timing? Sure the variable of how much the prices move can be arguable, but why were the timings of each book’s speculation bubble burst so different despite both books essentially being influenced by the same overall catalyst? Apparently, holders of Eternal Warriors #4 didn’t like the casting announcement of Bloodshot, while holders of Rai #0 didn’t like the first movie images released. To add a bit more oddity, both these downward moves precede the two more commonly observed movie-based speculation final move downward events of the first trailer and the movie’s theatrical release.

Overall, neither of these key Bloodshot comics offer attractive opportunities for long-term investment.  On the bright side, neither really have much further to fall.

 

 

“Are you seriously trying to get nostalgic with a man who can't remember his past?” - Bloodshot